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Gradual QE and modest balance‑sheet expansion limit macro stimulus for Bitcoin
  • The Fed is expected to increase the balance sheet by only about $40 bn of short‑term Treasury purchases, far less than past massive QE rounds.
  • Alden argues this “gradual print” scenario means macro‑level money creation won’t be a major catalyst for Bitcoin.
  • Smaller stimulus reduces the indirect boost that large‑scale liquidity injections can provide to risk assets.
  • Investors should therefore focus on asset‑specific drivers rather than expecting a macro‑driven rally.
  • The policy environment points to a more subdued, asset‑by‑asset performance landscape.
Lyn AldenNatalie Brunell00:26:20

Supporting quotes

Gradual QE and modest balance‑sheet expansion limit macro stimulus. Lyn Alden
Gradual print scenario means asset‑specific factors matter more than the macro backdrop. Lyn Alden

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Macro Policy and Liquidity Landscape

The Federal Reserve's shift to a gradual, modest balance-sheet expansion limits macro stimulus for Bitcoin. At the same time, liquidity and M2 have begun to diverge, creating occasional price-decoupling, while cheap oil keeps inflation in check, influencing mining economics.

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