True market intuition is a calm, data‑driven gut feeling, while emotional intuition is a stress response. By learning physiological cues, traders can separate the two.
View full episode →“Intuition is a subconscious aggregation of relevant data, not a mystical ability”
“Out‑of‑sample R‑squared in finance is typically 0.03‑0.04, indicating very low predictive power”
“Confirmation bias, recency bias, and gambler’s fallacy are amplified when traders over‑interpret small sample results”