“I actually have the same hypothesis I had even all the way back in 2017. I think I talked about it last time, but I wrote a doc called 'The Big Blob of Compute Hypothesis'.” — Dario Amodei
“What it says is that all the cleverness, all the techniques, all the 'we need a new method to do something', that doesn't matter very much. There are only a few things that matter.” — Dario Amodei
Amodei argues we're nearing the end of exponential AI progress, with capabilities reaching human-level across many domains much sooner than most people expect. He discusses why public recognition lags behind technical reality.