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Robotics will follow digital capabilities with ~1-2 year lag
  • Requires solving computer control first
  • Current OSWorld benchmarks improving (15% → 65-70%)
  • Physical hardware design will also benefit from AI
  • Diffusion into physical world adds time but follows same pattern
Dario AmodeiDwarkesh Patel01:19:16

Supporting quotes

I think when for whatever reason the models have those skills, then robotics will be revolutionized—both the design of robots, because the models will be much better than humans at that, and also the ability to control robots. Dario Amodei
Will robotics be revolutionized? Yeah, maybe tack on another year or two. That's the way I think about these things. Dario Amodei

From this concept

Robotics and Physical World

Discussion of how AI progress will translate to robotics and the physical world, including timelines and the relationship between digital and physical capabilities.

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