“I think everything we've seen so far is compatible with the idea that there's one fast exponential that's the capability of the model. Then there's another fast exponential that's downstream of that, which is the diffusion of the model into the economy.” — Dario Amodei
Amodei distinguishes between the exponential of technical capability and the (still fast but slower) diffusion into the economy. He discusses why adoption isn't instantaneous even with transformative AI.